7

7

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026

#29
rank
-8.9
rating (points, neutral field)
8-9
record (2025)
-12.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Baltimore grades out at -8.95 points versus an average team on a neutral field, a massive fall from a 3.50 prior-season rating and still trending down at -1.23 this week, with Lamar Jackson out and 7.0 points already docked for injuries. The 18.2 points scored and 18.2 allowed over the last five games with a 0.0 point differential scream mediocrity, yet the market sits 12.04 points away from this rating, meaning Baltimore is being priced far above its true form. This is a clear sell: the number should be closer to a touchdown-plus underdog than whatever the public is laying.

Unavailable this week(-7.0 pts of rating)

  • Lamar Jackson · QB · Out-5.5
  • Jaylinn Hawkins · S · Out-0.5
  • Calais Campbell · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.4
  • Tavius Robinson · LB · Out-0.3
  • Marques Tampa · CB · Doubtful-0.2
  • Broderick Washington · DE · Questionable-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

3.4 pts-16.4 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#130-1-0.5-1.0-0.5—
20252#21-1+3.4-1.4-1.9+3.8
20253#131-2+1.3-2.0-4.5-2.1
20254#161-3-1.1-1.7-8.5-2.4
20255#321-4-15.4-9.7-21.4-14.3
20256#321-5-16.4-9.0-18.7-1.0
20257#251-5-5.8—-8.7+10.6
20258#262-5-9.6-7.0-11.7-3.8
20259#123-5+1.0—-3.0+10.6
202510#74-5+2.8—-1.5+1.7
202511#135-5+0.1-2.4-5.0-2.7
202512#106-5+1.8-1.2-3.7+1.7
202513#156-6-2.0-0.6-7.1-3.7
202514#186-7-2.6-0.8-8.5-0.6
202515#157-7+0.2-0.5-5.2+2.7
202516#147-8-1.0-1.8-5.1-1.1
202517#138-8-0.9-4.8-4.3+0.1
202518#78-9+2.5-0.9-2.1+3.4