4.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#25
rank
-7.9
rating (points, neutral field)
5-12
record (2025)
+0.5
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Cleveland sits at 25th with a -7.9 neutral-field rating, so they're roughly a touchdown-plus underdog against an average team, and the 5-2 record is papering over a thin margin — the last-five point differential is just +1.6 with a near-zero EPA diff of 0.024. The rating already docks 4.9 points for injuries, and losing Dillon Gabriel at QB with Denzel Ward questionable is material. This is a sell: the market has them at 0.46 against the number, meaning they're getting more respect than a -7.9 rating warrants, so fade the record and lay the points against them.
Unavailable this week(-4.9 pts of rating)
- Dillon Gabriel · QB · Out-3.1
- Kalia Davis · DT · Out-0.9
- Denzel Ward · CB · Questionable-0.3
- Quincy Williams · LB · Questionable-0.2
- Michael Hall · DT · Out-0.2
- Grant Delpit · S · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Carson Schwesinger · LB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #16 | 0-1 | -0.8 | -0.3 | +1.5 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #27 | 0-2 | -4.4 | -0.5 | +4.0 | -3.6 |
| 2025 | 3 | #23 | 1-2 | -4.7 | -0.3 | +6.6 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 4 | #28 | 1-3 | -7.6 | -0.3 | +3.7 | -2.9 |
| 2025 | 5 | #29 | 1-4 | -9.2 | -0.8 | +3.2 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 6 | #30 | 1-5 | -9.8 | -0.4 | +1.9 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 7 | #27 | 2-5 | -7.0 | -1.7 | +2.1 | +2.9 |
| 2025 | 8 | #22 | 2-6 | -6.8 | -0.8 | +5.4 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 9 | #23 | 2-6 | -6.3 | — | +4.3 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 10 | #28 | 2-7 | -8.3 | -1.6 | +0.7 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 11 | #25 | 2-8 | -8.3 | -1.4 | +2.7 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 12 | #27 | 3-8 | -9.7 | -4.8 | -0.0 | -1.4 |
| 2025 | 13 | #27 | 3-9 | -7.9 | -1.0 | +2.2 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 14 | #31 | 3-10 | -13.5 | -6.2 | -2.6 | -5.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | #30 | 3-11 | -17.3 | -7.7 | -3.7 | -3.8 |
| 2025 | 16 | #30 | 3-12 | -14.8 | -7.1 | -2.1 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | #27 | 4-12 | -8.2 | -2.5 | +5.1 | +6.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | #25 | 5-12 | -8.6 | -3.6 | +6.6 | -0.4 |