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Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 7, 2026

#1
rank
+8.7
rating (points, neutral field)
13-4
record (2025)
+6.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Jacksonville sits at No. 1 with an 8.652 rating, but that's down 0.371 from last week and well below the 10.296 prior-season mark, so this is a team trending the wrong way even at the top. The profile is more grind than blowout: 19.6 points scored vs 15.4 allowed over the last five, a modest 0.152 EPA per play and just 5.25 point differential, yet the market still prices them 5.97 points better than the rating implies, which makes them a clear sell โ€” the number is running ahead of the underlying performance.

Rating over the 2025 season

10.3 pts-3.5 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20251#41-0+0.5-1.3+0.2โ€”
20252#91-1+1.1-0.8+2.0+0.6
20253#72-1+1.9-0.1+4.0+0.9
20254#83-1+2.7-0.4+5.6+0.7
20255#74-1+3.5-0.8+8.2+0.8
20256#74-2+2.5-0.5+7.8-1.0
20257#184-3-1.8-1.0+2.4-4.3
20258#154-3-0.9โ€”+4.4+1.0
20259#185-3-3.1-2.4+0.0-2.2
202510#185-4-3.5-3.8-1.0-0.4
202511#146-4-0.1-4.0+3.6+3.4
202512#157-4-1.3-4.9+1.3-1.2
202513#88-4+4.1-1.5+5.9+5.4
202514#49-4+5.9-1.9+7.9+1.8
202515#410-4+8.2-0.5+9.4+2.3
202516#311-4+8.6-0.9+10.3+0.4
202517#312-4+6.9-1.8+8.4-1.7
202518#313-4+10.3-0.2+10.8+3.4