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Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026

#27
rank
-8.2
rating (points, neutral field)
7-10
record (2025)
+5.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Miami sits at -8.162 points versus an average team on a neutral field, ranked 27th, so the market is already pricing them as a bottom-tier squad despite a modest 1.405-point ratings bump this week. The last-five profile is ugly — 12.0 points scored against 23.4 allowed, a -0.2334 EPA differential per play, and a -14.25 point differential — yet their vs_market mark of +4.99 says they've actually outperformed the number, which makes them a sneaky buy-low rather than a fade at typical spreads. The 1-4 record and thin linebacker depth with Willie Gay questionable are real concerns, but at this rating they're being treated like a near-touchdown underdog to an average team, and that's too harsh given the market results.

Unavailable this week(-0.2 pts of rating)

  • Willie Gay · LB · Questionable-0.1
  • Robert Beal · DE · Doubtful-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

-1.3 pts-9.6 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#320-1-3.4-0.6-2.6—
20252#290-2-6.3-0.8-5.3-3.0
20253#280-3-6.9-1.1-1.6-0.6
20254#261-3-6.6-1.5-2.3+0.3
20255#231-4-6.1-1.5-1.8+0.5
20256#241-5-6.1-1.0-1.2+0.1
20257#291-6-9.6-0.5-4.2-3.6
20258#202-6-5.0-1.2+2.9+4.7
20259#282-7-8.2-1.6+0.1-3.2
202510#223-7-4.4-1.3+3.9+3.8
202511#204-7-4.1-0.4+4.7+0.4
202512#184-7-3.3—+4.3+0.8
202513#215-7-4.0-0.7+2.8-0.7
202514#146-7-1.3-0.1+5.8+2.7
202515#196-8-2.4-0.1+6.3-1.1
202516#256-9-7.2-1.5+2.2-4.8
202517#257-9-6.6-2.1+4.0+0.5
202518#277-10-9.3-3.1+3.3-2.7