0.2
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#2
rank
+6.9
rating (points, neutral field)
9-8
record (2025)
+5.4
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Minnesota grades out as the No. 2 team in the league at 6.88 points better than average on a neutral field, and the underlying form backs it up: 10.0 point differential over the last five with a plus-0.135 EPA per play, driven by a defense allowing just 10.8 points per game. The market is still catching up, with a 5.36 gap between this rating and the spread, so this is a clear buy — lay the points before the number moves. The only caution is a 0.42 rating dip this week and the Harrison Smith practice limitation, though the 0.2 injury dock already accounts for it.
Unavailable this week(-0.2 pts of rating)
- Harrison Smith · S · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Jordan Mason · RB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #14 | 1-0 | -0.6 | -0.5 | +0.2 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #32 | 1-1 | -9.3 | -5.1 | -8.2 | -8.7 |
| 2025 | 3 | #24 | 2-1 | -5.0 | -7.1 | -4.7 | +4.3 |
| 2025 | 4 | #19 | 2-2 | -3.4 | -5.2 | -4.5 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 5 | #18 | 3-2 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -2.3 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 6 | #8 | 3-2 | +1.7 | — | +2.7 | +3.9 |
| 2025 | 7 | #12 | 3-3 | -0.6 | -1.4 | -0.7 | -2.3 |
| 2025 | 8 | #21 | 3-4 | -5.4 | -0.9 | -5.1 | -4.7 |
| 2025 | 9 | #19 | 4-4 | -3.2 | -1.4 | -1.4 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 10 | #20 | 4-5 | -3.7 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 11 | #21 | 4-6 | -4.6 | -0.9 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 12 | #21 | 4-7 | -5.3 | -0.6 | -2.7 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 13 | #31 | 4-8 | -13.9 | -7.8 | -10.0 | -8.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | #22 | 5-8 | -4.4 | -2.0 | +0.5 | +9.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | #18 | 6-8 | -1.5 | -1.0 | +4.5 | +2.9 |
| 2025 | 16 | #16 | 7-8 | -2.1 | -1.4 | +3.2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | #28 | 8-8 | -8.6 | -9.9 | -1.9 | -6.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | #13 | 9-8 | -0.5 | -3.1 | +2.8 | +8.1 |