1.3
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
New England sits at 3.97 points better than average on a neutral field, but that rating has dropped 1.82 points in a week and is now 4.28 points clear of where the market has them, which flags this number as inflated relative to a typical spread. The last-five profile is modest rather than dominant — 19.4 points scored against 14.8 allowed, a 0.078 EPA edge per play, and just a plus-5.75 point differential — and a secondary missing Carlton Davis (out) with Kevin Byard questionable is a real drag on a defense that's been carrying this team. Sell high on New England: the market is pricing them closer to their 8.98 prior-season rating than their current form deserves.
Unavailable this week(-1.3 pts of rating)
- Carlton Davis · CB · Out-0.4
- Christian Elliss · LB · Questionable-0.3
- Kevin Byard · S · Questionable-0.2
- Christian Gonzalez · CB · Questionable-0.2
- Craig Woodson · S · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #31 | 0-1 | -2.7 | -1.4 | -2.4 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #21 | 1-1 | -3.0 | -1.7 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 3 | #25 | 1-2 | -5.4 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -2.4 |
| 2025 | 4 | #13 | 2-2 | +1.2 | -0.1 | +4.3 | +6.6 |
| 2025 | 5 | #12 | 3-2 | +1.3 | -1.0 | +5.4 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 6 | #12 | 4-2 | +0.3 | -2.3 | +4.3 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 7 | #9 | 5-2 | +2.4 | -1.0 | +4.7 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 8 | #8 | 6-2 | +4.4 | -0.1 | +7.2 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 9 | #11 | 7-2 | +1.6 | -1.5 | +3.7 | -2.8 |
| 2025 | 10 | #8 | 8-2 | +2.8 | -1.5 | +5.1 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 11 | #8 | 9-2 | +1.0 | -3.2 | +2.3 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 12 | #8 | 10-2 | +2.6 | -0.9 | +3.0 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 13 | #7 | 11-2 | +4.5 | -0.5 | +4.2 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 14 | #6 | 11-2 | +4.7 | — | +4.3 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 15 | #10 | 11-3 | +2.5 | -0.7 | +2.8 | -2.1 |
| 2025 | 16 | #9 | 12-3 | +1.7 | -2.4 | +2.0 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | #8 | 13-3 | +0.8 | -6.1 | +0.4 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 18 | #4 | 14-3 | +5.4 | -3.1 | +3.0 | +4.5 |