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Earl
4.5

4.5

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026

#12
rank
+1.0
rating (points, neutral field)
12-5
record (2025)
-2.8
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

San Francisco's rating has cratered 2.477 points in a week to 0.955, and with Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, and Nicholas Bosa all out, that 4.5-point injury dock looks like the market may still be catching up. The underlying form is genuinely good — plus-0.285 EPA per play and a 9.25 point differential over the last five — but a -2.76 gap to the market says the public is still pricing this team on reputation from a 6.566 prior-season rating. That makes SF a sell: the number is inflated relative to what's actually on the field, and I'd fade them laying anything close to a typical spread until the bodies return.

Unavailable this week(-4.5 pts of rating)

  • Mike Evans · WR · Out-2.0
  • Deebo Samuel · WR · Out-0.9
  • Nicholas Bosa · DE · Out-0.6
  • Marques Sigle · S · Out-0.4
  • Christian Kirk · WR · Questionable-0.3
  • Luke Gifford · LB · Out-0.1
  • Garret Wallow · LB · Out-0.1
  • Upton Stout · CB · Questionable-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

5.8 pts-6.6 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#81-0+0.2-1.0+0.1—
20252#282-0-4.5-6.9-5.9-4.7
20253#123-0+1.4-1.5+0.3+5.9
20254#183-1-3.3-4.3-3.6-4.7
20255#224-1-4.9-7.7-3.3-1.6
20256#254-2-6.6-8.7-4.3-1.7
20257#225-2-4.0-6.5-1.1+2.6
20258#195-3-4.1-5.6-0.6-0.0
20259#156-3-1.2-4.2+1.3+2.9
202510#156-4-1.7-3.7+1.4-0.6
202511#67-4+3.7-0.6+7.0+5.5
202512#78-4+2.9-1.4+5.1-0.8
202513#99-4+3.4-2.3+4.4+0.5
202514#59-4+5.8—+6.8+2.3
202515#810-4+2.7-2.2+2.5-3.1
202516#411-4+5.6-2.3+4.1+3.0
202517#512-4+5.2-2.0+5.1-0.4
202518#512-5+4.9-1.5+4.5-0.3