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Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 4, 2026

#16
rank
+1.0
rating (points, neutral field)
54-28
record (2025)
+7.8
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Denver sits at 16th with a 1.025 neutral-field rating, a steep -0.33 drop from last week, and a 4.093 strength of schedule that says the 1-2 record came against real competition. The prior-season rating of 4.0 versus the current 1.025 is the loudest signal here: this team has fallen well below its own baseline, so I'm selling until the number stabilizes. The vs_market gap of 7.75 also flags them as overpriced relative to what the ratings say, making them a fade candidate when the spread asks them to cover more than their profile supports.

Rating over the 2025 season

10.4 pts0.0 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20251#32-1+6.7โ€”-2.2โ€”
20252#24-2+8.3โ€”-1.3+1.5
20253#27-2+10.4โ€”-0.1+2.1
20254#210-3+9.8โ€”-1.1-0.7
20255#313-4+7.6โ€”-1.7-2.1
20256#414-6+6.6โ€”-1.9-1.0
20257#517-6+6.7โ€”-1.5+0.1
20258#419-6+7.5โ€”-0.5+0.8
20259#321-7+7.8โ€”+0.7+0.3
202510#622-10+5.7โ€”-0.6-2.1
202511#724-12+3.5-0.6-0.0-2.2
202512#1026-13+1.6-1.4-0.4-1.9
202513#1229-14+1.1-0.7-0.3-0.5
202514#1431-15+0.0-1.3-0.6-1.0
202515#1333-17+0.8-0.6+0.8+0.8
202516#1334-20+0.9-1.0+1.1+0.1
202517#1235-20+0.9-1.0+0.2+0.0
202518#836-22+3.3โ€”+1.9+2.4
202519#1038-24+2.3-1.3+0.2-1.0
202520#1139-26+2.5โ€”-0.2+0.2
202521#841-27+4.0โ€”+1.0+1.6
202522#844-28+4.7โ€”+0.6+0.7
202523#748-28+4.8โ€”+0.1+0.1
202524#851-28+4.9โ€”-0.4+0.1
202525#854-28+4.0-2.2-1.0-0.9