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Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 4, 2026
#22
rank
-5.2
rating (points, neutral field)
43-39
record (2025)
-4.3
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Miami sits at 22nd with a -5.18 neutral-field rating, meaning they're roughly five points worse than an average team, and that number already accounts for zero injury dock, so there's no hidden absence excuse baked in. Their rating is a full 4.26 points below the market's view, which screams overrated by the books even after a modest 0.86-point weekly bump. With an 0-3 record against the seventh-toughest schedule, this is a sell โ fade Miami as a favorite and look to take points with them only when the line overprices the brand.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #9 | 2-1 | +3.6 | -1.0 | +8.5 | โ |
| 2025 | 2 | #4 | 4-3 | +4.8 | -0.6 | +8.8 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 3 | #5 | 7-4 | +5.7 | โ | +9.9 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 4 | #8 | 8-6 | +4.0 | โ | +5.9 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 5 | #9 | 12-6 | +3.6 | -2.6 | +3.6 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 6 | #6 | 14-7 | +4.5 | -1.3 | +3.0 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 7 | #14 | 14-11 | +0.9 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -3.6 |
| 2025 | 8 | #11 | 14-12 | +1.6 | -0.9 | -0.3 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 9 | #13 | 15-14 | -0.2 | -2.1 | -1.1 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 10 | #12 | 18-15 | +0.5 | -2.6 | -0.2 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 11 | #10 | 20-16 | +1.8 | -1.7 | +1.3 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 12 | #17 | 20-19 | -0.9 | -1.9 | -1.4 | -2.7 |
| 2025 | 13 | #16 | 22-21 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 14 | #15 | 25-22 | -0.2 | -2.0 | -0.5 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 15 | #15 | 27-24 | -0.1 | -2.2 | -0.4 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | #15 | 28-27 | -0.9 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 17 | #14 | 29-27 | +0.7 | -1.3 | +0.8 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 18 | #10 | 31-27 | +1.9 | -1.4 | +1.4 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | #13 | 32-29 | +1.3 | -1.4 | +0.8 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | #16 | 36-29 | +1.0 | -3.3 | +0.3 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 21 | #17 | 38-31 | +0.1 | -2.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | #17 | 38-34 | -0.7 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | #16 | 40-36 | +0.3 | -1.1 | -0.3 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | #15 | 41-37 | +1.1 | โ | +0.3 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | #19 | 43-39 | -1.4 | -2.7 | -2.2 | -2.5 |