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Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 4, 2026
#27
rank
-8.4
rating (points, neutral field)
17-65
record (2025)
-13.2
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Washington sits at -8.428 points versus an average team on a neutral field, ranked 27th, and that rating is trending the wrong way after a -0.954 drop this week. The schedule has been soft at -7.136, so even this modest rating may be flattering, and the market gap of -13.23 versus their number screams that bettors are overvaluing them relative to what the metrics actually show. With no key absences docked, this is a clear sell โ fade Washington as a favorite and look to take points against them whenever the number lags their true rating.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #30 | 1-3 | -12.5 | โ | -3.7 | โ |
| 2025 | 2 | #30 | 1-6 | -13.5 | โ | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 3 | #30 | 1-10 | -14.4 | โ | -2.3 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 4 | #30 | 1-12 | -15.7 | โ | -3.8 | -1.3 |
| 2025 | 5 | #30 | 1-15 | -14.2 | โ | -2.0 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 6 | #30 | 3-16 | -13.0 | โ | -0.5 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 7 | #30 | 3-19 | -15.8 | -0.7 | -3.0 | -2.8 |
| 2025 | 8 | #30 | 4-20 | -13.7 | -0.6 | -1.1 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 9 | #30 | 5-22 | -13.8 | -1.8 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 10 | #30 | 7-24 | -10.3 | โ | +1.8 | +3.5 |
| 2025 | 11 | #29 | 9-25 | -8.9 | โ | +2.5 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 12 | #29 | 10-28 | -10.4 | -1.0 | +0.8 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 13 | #30 | 10-32 | -10.3 | -0.7 | +1.2 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 14 | #30 | 10-34 | -10.7 | -1.3 | +0.1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 15 | #29 | 13-35 | -9.3 | โ | +2.1 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 16 | #30 | 14-38 | -12.8 | -2.8 | -0.2 | -3.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | #30 | 14-39 | -10.3 | โ | +2.1 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | #29 | 16-40 | -10.5 | -1.0 | +2.1 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 19 | #30 | 16-44 | -12.6 | -2.5 | +1.0 | -2.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | #30 | 16-47 | -12.6 | -1.6 | +0.9 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 21 | #29 | 16-52 | -12.4 | -1.9 | +1.7 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | #29 | 16-55 | -12.5 | -1.4 | +2.0 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | #30 | 17-58 | -13.8 | -2.8 | +0.9 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | #30 | 17-62 | -15.7 | -3.3 | +0.3 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 25 | #29 | 17-65 | -15.2 | -2.5 | +0.7 | +0.4 |