4.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#25
rank
-7.9
rating (points, neutral field)
5-2
record (2026)
+0.5
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Cleveland sits at 25th with a -7.9 neutral-field rating, so they're roughly a touchdown-plus underdog against an average team, and the 5-2 record is papering over a thin margin — the last-five point differential is just +1.6 with a near-zero EPA diff of 0.024. The rating already docks 4.9 points for injuries, and losing Dillon Gabriel at QB with Denzel Ward questionable is material. This is a sell: the market has them at 0.46 against the number, meaning they're getting more respect than a -7.9 rating warrants, so fade the record and lay the points against them.
Unavailable this week(-4.9 pts of rating)
- Dillon Gabriel · QB · Out-3.1
- Kalia Davis · DT · Out-0.9
- Denzel Ward · CB · Questionable-0.3
- Quincy Williams · LB · Questionable-0.2
- Michael Hall · DT · Out-0.2
- Grant Delpit · S · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Carson Schwesinger · LB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #26 | 0-1 | -6.7 | -0.1 | +5.1 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #27 | 1-1 | -7.3 | -0.5 | +5.2 | -0.7 |
| 2026 | 3 | #20 | 2-1 | -3.5 | -0.4 | +9.2 | +3.8 |
| 2026 | 4 | #14 | 3-1 | -1.6 | -0.1 | +12.2 | +1.9 |
| 2026 | 5 | #26 | 3-2 | -8.4 | -5.5 | +4.1 | -6.8 |
| 2026 | 6 | #25 | 4-2 | -7.9 | -6.5 | +3.1 | +0.5 |
| 2026 | 7 | #25 | 5-2 | -7.9 | -4.9 | +0.5 | +0.0 |