2.6
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#16
rank
-1.1
rating (points, neutral field)
2-4
record (2026)
-3.8
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Houston's rating has cratered 2.297 points in a week to -1.054, and the market is still pricing them nearly four points better than that number, which screams sell. The offense is managing just 16.6 points per game over the last five despite a solid 0.104 EPA per play, and losing Blankenship, Montgomery, and Pitre costs them 2.6 points of the rating. This is a team the number says is barely below average on a neutral field, so any spread north of a field goal in their favor is a fade.
Unavailable this week(-2.6 pts of rating)
- Reed Blankenship · S · Out-0.9
- David Montgomery · RB · Out-0.8
- Jalen Pitre · S · Out-0.4
- Nico Collins · WR · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- William Anderson · DE · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Jadeveon Clowney · DE · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #6 | 0-1 | +5.5 | -0.4 | +14.0 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #13 | 0-2 | -0.2 | -2.9 | +4.6 | -5.7 |
| 2026 | 3 | #19 | 0-3 | -3.1 | -2.9 | -3.9 | -2.9 |
| 2026 | 4 | #21 | 0-3 | -2.8 | -2.0 | -4.5 | +0.3 |
| 2026 | 5 | #10 | 1-3 | +1.2 | -0.3 | -1.4 | +4.0 |
| 2026 | 6 | #13 | 2-3 | +1.2 | -2.4 | -0.7 | +0.1 |
| 2026 | 7 | #16 | 2-4 | -1.1 | -2.6 | -3.8 | -2.3 |