0.2
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#2
rank
+6.9
rating (points, neutral field)
5-0
record (2026)
+5.4
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Minnesota grades out as the No. 2 team in the league at 6.88 points better than average on a neutral field, and the underlying form backs it up: 10.0 point differential over the last five with a plus-0.135 EPA per play, driven by a defense allowing just 10.8 points per game. The market is still catching up, with a 5.36 gap between this rating and the spread, so this is a clear buy — lay the points before the number moves. The only caution is a 0.42 rating dip this week and the Harrison Smith practice limitation, though the 0.2 injury dock already accounts for it.
Unavailable this week(-0.2 pts of rating)
- Harrison Smith · S · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Jordan Mason · RB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #8 | 1-0 | +4.6 | -0.0 | +7.6 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #8 | 2-0 | +5.4 | -1.0 | +7.2 | +0.8 |
| 2026 | 3 | #5 | 3-0 | +6.0 | — | +6.3 | +0.6 |
| 2026 | 4 | #7 | 3-0 | +4.3 | -2.2 | +3.4 | -1.7 |
| 2026 | 5 | #4 | 4-0 | +5.7 | -1.2 | +5.3 | +1.3 |
| 2026 | 6 | #2 | 4-0 | +7.3 | — | +7.6 | +1.6 |
| 2026 | 7 | #2 | 5-0 | +6.9 | -0.2 | +5.4 | -0.4 |
