1.3
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
New England sits at 3.97 points better than average on a neutral field, but that rating has dropped 1.82 points in a week and is now 4.28 points clear of where the market has them, which flags this number as inflated relative to a typical spread. The last-five profile is modest rather than dominant — 19.4 points scored against 14.8 allowed, a 0.078 EPA edge per play, and just a plus-5.75 point differential — and a secondary missing Carlton Davis (out) with Kevin Byard questionable is a real drag on a defense that's been carrying this team. Sell high on New England: the market is pricing them closer to their 8.98 prior-season rating than their current form deserves.
Unavailable this week(-1.3 pts of rating)
- Carlton Davis · CB · Out-0.4
- Christian Elliss · LB · Questionable-0.3
- Kevin Byard · S · Questionable-0.2
- Christian Gonzalez · CB · Questionable-0.2
- Craig Woodson · S · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #5 | 0-1 | +7.6 | -1.5 | +10.2 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #2 | 1-1 | +10.5 | -0.4 | +9.2 | +2.9 |
| 2026 | 3 | #6 | 1-2 | +4.4 | -0.7 | +4.2 | -6.2 |
| 2026 | 4 | #9 | 1-2 | +2.4 | -2.3 | +3.6 | -1.9 |
| 2026 | 5 | #8 | 2-2 | +3.7 | -4.6 | +5.2 | +1.3 |
| 2026 | 6 | #3 | 3-2 | +5.8 | -1.5 | +6.1 | +2.1 |
| 2026 | 7 | #6 | 3-3 | +4.0 | -1.3 | +4.3 | -1.8 |