4.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#12
rank
+1.0
rating (points, neutral field)
5-1
record (2026)
-2.8
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
San Francisco's rating has cratered 2.477 points in a week to 0.955, and with Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, and Nicholas Bosa all out, that 4.5-point injury dock looks like the market may still be catching up. The underlying form is genuinely good — plus-0.285 EPA per play and a 9.25 point differential over the last five — but a -2.76 gap to the market says the public is still pricing this team on reputation from a 6.566 prior-season rating. That makes SF a sell: the number is inflated relative to what's actually on the field, and I'd fade them laying anything close to a typical spread until the bodies return.
Unavailable this week(-4.5 pts of rating)
- Mike Evans · WR · Out-2.0
- Deebo Samuel · WR · Out-0.9
- Nicholas Bosa · DE · Out-0.6
- Marques Sigle · S · Out-0.4
- Christian Kirk · WR · Questionable-0.3
- Luke Gifford · LB · Out-0.1
- Garret Wallow · LB · Out-0.1
- Upton Stout · CB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #3 | 1-0 | +8.7 | -0.9 | +11.4 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #1 | 2-0 | +11.7 | -0.4 | +2.7 | +3.0 |
| 2026 | 3 | #2 | 3-0 | +8.0 | -2.4 | +2.3 | -3.7 |
| 2026 | 4 | #2 | 3-0 | +7.9 | -2.7 | +3.0 | -0.0 |
| 2026 | 5 | #2 | 4-0 | +8.1 | -1.8 | +4.2 | +0.1 |
| 2026 | 6 | #8 | 5-0 | +3.4 | -4.3 | +0.1 | -4.6 |
| 2026 | 7 | #12 | 5-1 | +1.0 | -4.5 | -2.8 | -2.5 |