4.6
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 7, 2026
#15
rank
-0.8
rating (points, neutral field)
2-4
record (2026)
+4.3
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Tampa Bay sits at -0.75 rating points on a neutral field, which is basically a coin-flip team, but the 10.7-point jump in rating versus last week is the biggest signal here — this number is moving fast in the right direction. The market already has them 4.3 points better than the rating implies, so the books are ahead of the raw number, and with Baker Mayfield questionable plus Egbuka and Winfield out, the 4.6-point injury dock is doing real work. Buy low on the rating if you can get a number near a pick'em, but don't chase them as a favorite until Mayfield's status clears.
Unavailable this week(-4.6 pts of rating)
- Baker Mayfield · QB · Questionable-2.1
- Emeka Egbuka · WR · Out-2.0
- Antoine Winfield · S · Out-0.4
- Christian Rozeboom · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #22 | 0-1 | -4.4 | -0.8 | -1.8 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #23 | 0-2 | -5.3 | -0.8 | -7.8 | -0.9 |
| 2026 | 3 | #22 | 0-3 | -4.5 | -1.0 | -2.7 | +0.8 |
| 2026 | 4 | #30 | 0-3 | -11.2 | -8.2 | -7.3 | -6.7 |
| 2026 | 5 | #28 | 1-3 | -10.3 | -8.6 | -3.3 | +1.0 |
| 2026 | 6 | #30 | 1-4 | -11.5 | -9.1 | -4.2 | -1.2 |
| 2026 | 7 | #15 | 2-4 | -0.8 | -4.6 | +4.3 | +10.7 |